FootyTipsWorld Cup 2026 Prediction Results
28 matches settled: 53.6% win/draw/loss hit rate, Brier 0.6742. This record includes every finished World Cup 2026 match in the database, including misses.
Settled matches
Correct W/D/L picks
Hit rate
Average Brier
Settled Matches
| Match | Final score | Model pick | Actual | Result | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs South Africa | 2–0 | Mexico win | Mexico win | Hit | 0.0152 |
| South Korea vs Czech Republic | 2–1 | South Korea win | South Korea win | Hit | 0.4212 |
| Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | 1–1 | Canada win | Draw | Miss | 1.5069 |
| USA vs Paraguay | 4–1 | USA win | USA win | Hit | 0.5959 |
| Qatar vs Switzerland | 1–1 | Switzerland win | Draw | Miss | 1.5680 |
| Brazil vs Morocco | 1–1 | Brazil win | Draw | Miss | 0.8175 |
| Haiti vs Scotland | 0–1 | Scotland win | Scotland win | Hit | 0.3012 |
| Australia vs Turkey | 2–0 | Turkey win | Australia win | Miss | 0.8252 |
| Germany vs Curaçao | 7–1 | Germany win | Germany win | Hit | 0.0250 |
| Netherlands vs Japan | 2–2 | Netherlands win | Draw | Miss | 0.7638 |
| Ivory Coast vs Ecuador | 1–0 | Ecuador win | Ivory Coast win | Miss | 1.2694 |
| Sweden vs Tunisia | 5–1 | Sweden win | Sweden win | Hit | 0.6208 |
| Spain vs Cape Verde | 0–0 | Spain win | Draw | Miss | 1.8924 |
| Belgium vs Egypt | 1–1 | Belgium win | Draw | Miss | 0.9693 |
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | 1–1 | Uruguay win | Draw | Miss | 1.2829 |
| Iran vs New Zealand | 2–2 | Iran win | Draw | Miss | 0.9906 |
| France vs Senegal | 3–1 | France win | France win | Hit | 0.1543 |
| Iraq vs Norway | 1–4 | Norway win | Norway win | Hit | 0.1318 |
| Argentina vs Algeria | 3–0 | Argentina win | Argentina win | Hit | 0.0774 |
| Austria vs Jordan | 3–1 | Austria win | Austria win | Hit | 0.3382 |
| Portugal vs DR Congo | 1–1 | Portugal win | Draw | Miss | 1.3446 |
| England vs Croatia | 4–2 | England win | England win | Hit | 0.3319 |
| Ghana vs Panama | 1–0 | Panama win | Ghana win | Miss | 1.2395 |
| Uzbekistan vs Colombia | 1–3 | Colombia win | Colombia win | Hit | 0.1306 |
| Czech Republic vs South Africa | 1–1 | Czech Republic win | Draw | Miss | 0.9061 |
| Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4–1 | Switzerland win | Switzerland win | Hit | 0.1138 |
| Canada vs Qatar | 6–0 | Canada win | Canada win | Hit | 0.0253 |
| Mexico vs South Korea | 1–0 | Mexico win | Mexico win | Hit | 0.2177 |
Method
For each finished match, settlement uses the prediction probabilities that were generated before the result was known. The highest of home win, draw and away win is the model pick; final score determines the actual result. Brier score measures the full probability distribution, so it rewards honest probabilities rather than only the top pick.
Historical performance does not guarantee future results. Probabilities are information, not betting instructions.
FAQ
How are prediction results settled?
After a match is marked full time with a final score, we compare the model top pick before kick-off with the actual win, draw or loss result.
What counts as a hit?
A hit means the highest model probability was the actual result: home win, draw or away win. Correct score is tracked separately and is not required for hit rate.
Are unfinished matches included?
No. The live hit rate and Brier score only include finished matches with final scores.