Colombia vs DR Congo Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Estadio Akron
Our model gives Colombia a 68% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 2–0.
Win Probability
- Colombia win: 68%
- Draw: 19%
- DR Congo win: 13%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 2–0
- Expected goals (model λ): 2.17 – 0.84
- Over 2.5 goals: 58%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Colombia Elo 1900 · DR Congo Elo 1760
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Colombia are strong favourites at 68% against DR Congo (13%), with the draw at 19% and a 2–0 most likely. Colombia's rating (1900 vs 1760) gives them the edge in this important game.
DR Congo's pace could threaten on the counter, but the model leans Colombian: 58% for over 2.5 goals. With second place likely at stake behind Portugal, Colombia will want a convincing performance.
FAQ
Who will win Colombia vs DR Congo?
Colombia are favoured with a 68% win probability. Colombia 68% / Draw 19% / DR Congo 13%.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs DR Congo?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 2–0.
Will Colombia vs DR Congo have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Colombia vs DR Congo?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.