Belgium vs Iran Prediction

Jun 21, 07:00 PM UTC · Group Stage - 2 · Los Angeles Stadium

Match Status

Belgium 0-0 Iran · FT · Miss

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Belgium to win at 44%. Overall probabilities: Belgium 44%, draw 28%, Iran 28%; model score 1-1.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 44%

Belgium 0-0 Iran result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Belgium
model top outcome · 44%

1-1
model score forecast

44%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Belgium 44% / Draw 28% / Iran 28%; expected goals 1.39-1.04; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 59.0%/23.9%/17.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/belgium-vs-iran-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/belgium-vs-iran.png" alt="Belgium vs Iran prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Miss: Final score Belgium 0-0 Iran. Model pick: Belgium. Actual result: Draw.

Brier contribution: 0.7924 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Belgium win: 44%
Draw: 28%
Iran win: 28%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.39 - 1.04
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams to score: 49%

Model Ratings

Belgium Elo 2022 · Iran Elo 1880

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Belgium and Iran have met 1 time: 0 Belgium wins, 1 draw, 0 Iran wins.

Belgium 0–0 Iran · 2026-06-21 · FIFA World Cup

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

The model installs Belgium clear favourites at 44% in this Group G fixture at Los Angeles Stadium — Belgium 44%, the draw 28%, Iran 28%. A clear Elo edge to Belgium (2022 vs 1880), and the model score forecast is 1–1.

Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Belgium vs Iran?

Belgium are favoured at 44%. Belgium 44% / Draw 28% / Iran 28%.

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Iran?

Our model score forecast is 1-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Belgium vs Iran?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 67.7% Belgium win, 20.5% draw, 11.8% Iran win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 59.0% / 23.9% / 17.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Belgium vs Iran have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgium vs Iran?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.

What is the head-to-head record between Belgium and Iran?

Belgium and Iran have met 1 time: 0 Belgium wins, 1 draw, 0 Iran wins.