Brazil vs Morocco Prediction

Jun 13, 10:00 PM UTC · Group Stage - 1 · New York/New Jersey Stadium

Match Status

Brazil 1-1 Morocco · FT · Miss

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Brazil to win at 48%. Overall probabilities: Brazil 48%, draw 27%, Morocco 25%; model score 1-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 48%

Brazil 1-1 Morocco result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brazil
model top outcome · 48%

1-1
model score forecast

44%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Brazil 48% / Draw 27% / Morocco 25%; expected goals 1.46-0.98; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 53.6%/26.5%/19.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/brazil-vs-morocco-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/brazil-vs-morocco.png" alt="Brazil vs Morocco prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Miss: Final score Brazil 1-1 Morocco. Model pick: Brazil. Actual result: Draw.

Brier contribution: 0.8175 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Brazil win: 48%
Draw: 27%
Morocco win: 25%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.46 - 0.98
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams to score: 49%

Model Ratings

Brazil Elo 2075 · Morocco Elo 2028

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Brazil and Morocco have met 4 times: 2 Brazil wins, 1 draw, 1 Morocco win.

Brazil 1–1 Morocco · 2026-06-13 · FIFA World Cup
Morocco 2–1 Brazil · 2023-03-25
Brazil 3–0 Morocco · 1998-06-16 · FIFA World Cup
Brazil 2–0 Morocco · 1997-10-09

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

The model installs Brazil clear favourites at 48% in this Group C fixture at New York/New Jersey Stadium — Brazil 48%, the draw 27%, Morocco 25%. A modest Elo edge to Brazil (2075 vs 2028), and the model score forecast is 1–1.

Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Brazil vs Morocco?

Brazil are favoured at 48%. Brazil 48% / Draw 27% / Morocco 25%.

What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Morocco?

Our model score forecast is 1-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Brazil vs Morocco?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 57.3% Brazil win, 25.7% draw, 17.0% Morocco win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 53.6% / 26.5% / 19.9%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Brazil vs Morocco have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brazil vs Morocco?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.

What is the head-to-head record between Brazil and Morocco?

Brazil and Morocco have met 4 times: 2 Brazil wins, 1 draw, 1 Morocco win.