Austria vs Jordan Prediction

Jun 17, 04:00 AM UTC · Group Stage - 1 · San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Match Status

Austria 3-1 Jordan · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Austria to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Austria 53%, draw 26%, Jordan 21%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%

Austria 3-1 Jordan result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Austria
model top outcome · 53%

1-0
model score forecast

45%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Austria 53% / Draw 26% / Jordan 21%; expected goals 1.58-0.91; BTTS 48%; blended best estimate 62.3%/22.6%/15.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/austria-vs-jordan-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/austria-vs-jordan.png" alt="Austria vs Jordan prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Austria 3-1 Jordan. Model pick: Austria. Actual result: Austria.

Brier contribution: 0.3382 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Austria win: 53%
Draw: 26%
Jordan win: 21%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.58 - 0.91
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams to score: 48%

Model Ratings

Austria Elo 1886 · Jordan Elo 1716

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Austria and Jordan have met 1 time: 1 Austria win, 0 draws, 0 Jordan wins.

Austria 3–1 Jordan · 2026-06-16 · FIFA World Cup

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model rates Austria clear favourites at 53% in this Group J fixture at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium — Austria 53%, the draw 26%, Jordan 21%. A clear Elo edge to Austria (1886 vs 1716), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Austria vs Jordan?

Austria are favoured at 53%. Austria 53% / Draw 26% / Jordan 21%.

What is the predicted score for Austria vs Jordan?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Austria vs Jordan?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 68.1% Austria win, 20.1% draw, 11.8% Jordan win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 62.3% / 22.6% / 15.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Austria vs Jordan have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Austria vs Jordan?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.

What is the head-to-head record between Austria and Jordan?

Austria and Jordan have met 1 time: 1 Austria win, 0 draws, 0 Jordan wins.