FootyTips 
Scotland vs Morocco 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Boston Stadium
Match Status
Scotland 0-1 Morocco · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Morocco to win at 55%. Overall probabilities: Scotland 19%, draw 26%, Morocco 55%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 55%
model top outcome · 55%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Scotland 19% / Draw 26% / Morocco 55%; expected goals 0.87-1.65; BTTS 47%; blended best estimate 17.7%/25.8%/56.5%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Scotland 0-1 Morocco. Model pick: Morocco. Actual result: Morocco.
Brier contribution: 0.3012 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Scotland win: 19%
- Draw: 26%
- Morocco win: 55%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.87 - 1.65
- Over 2.5: 46%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Model Ratings
Scotland Elo 1825 · Morocco Elo 2028
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Scotland and Morocco have met 2 times: 0 Scotland wins, 0 draws, 2 Morocco wins.
- Scotland 0–1 Morocco · 2026-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
- Scotland 0–3 Morocco · 1998-06-23 · FIFA World Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model rates Morocco clear favourites at 55% in this Group C fixture at Boston Stadium — Scotland 19%, the draw 26%, Morocco 55%. A big Elo gap in Morocco's favour (2028 vs 1825), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Scotland vs Morocco?
Morocco are favoured at 55%. Scotland 19% / Draw 26% / Morocco 55%.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Morocco?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Scotland vs Morocco?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 16.7% Scotland win, 26.1% draw, 57.3% Morocco win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 17.7% / 25.8% / 56.5%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Scotland vs Morocco have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Scotland vs Morocco?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Scotland and Morocco?
Scotland and Morocco have met 2 times: 0 Scotland wins, 0 draws, 2 Morocco wins.