Czech Republic vs South Africa Prediction

Jun 18, 04:00 PM UTC · Group Stage - 2 · Atlanta Stadium

Match Status

Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa · FT · Miss

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Czech Republic to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Czech Republic 58%, draw 25%, South Africa 17%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%

Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Czech Republic
model top outcome · 58%

1-0
model score forecast

47%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Czech Republic 58% / Draw 25% / South Africa 17%; expected goals 1.73-0.83; BTTS 47%; blended best estimate 54.6%/26.0%/19.4%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/czech-republic-vs-south-africa-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/czech-republic-vs-south-africa.png" alt="Czech Republic vs South Africa prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Miss: Final score Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa. Model pick: Czech Republic. Actual result: Draw.

Brier contribution: 0.9398 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Czech Republic win: 58%
Draw: 25%
South Africa win: 17%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.73 - 0.83
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams to score: 47%

Model Ratings

Czech Republic Elo 1754 · South Africa Elo 1684

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Czech Republic and South Africa have met 2 times: 0 Czech Republic wins, 2 draws, 0 South Africa wins.

Czech Republic 1–1 South Africa · 2026-06-18 · FIFA World Cup
South Africa 2–2 Czech Republic · 1997-12-13 · Confederations Cup

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model rates Czech Republic clear favourites at 58% in this Group A fixture at Atlanta Stadium — Czech Republic 58%, the draw 25%, South Africa 17%. A modest Elo edge to Czech Republic (1754 vs 1684), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Czech Republic vs South Africa?

Czech Republic are favoured at 58%. Czech Republic 58% / Draw 25% / South Africa 17%.

What is the predicted score for Czech Republic vs South Africa?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Czech Republic vs South Africa?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 52.2% Czech Republic win, 27.0% draw, 20.9% South Africa win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 54.6% / 26.0% / 19.4%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Czech Republic vs South Africa have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Czech Republic vs South Africa?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.

What is the head-to-head record between Czech Republic and South Africa?

Czech Republic and South Africa have met 2 times: 0 Czech Republic wins, 2 draws, 0 South Africa wins.