Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · SoFi Stadium
Our model gives Switzerland a 57% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 1–1.
Win Probability
- Switzerland win: 57%
- Draw: 23%
- Bosnia-Herzegovina win: 21%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 1–1
- Expected goals (model λ): 1.82 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Switzerland Elo 1850 · Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1780
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Switzerland are favoured at 57% against Bosnia-Herzegovina (21%), with the draw at 23%, backed by a 70-point rating edge (1850 vs 1780). Goals look scarce, so the single most likely scoreline is 1–1 despite the Swiss favouritism.
This could be the match that decides second place behind the group's strongest side. Both teams to score sits at 53%. Bosnia must be braver here than against the hosts; the Swiss will fancy their control to convert superiority into points.
FAQ
Who will win Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Switzerland are favoured with a 57% win probability. Switzerland 57% / Draw 23% / Bosnia-Herzegovina 21%.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 1–1.
Will Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.