FootyTips 
Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Los Angeles Stadium
Match Status
Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Switzerland to win at 79%. Overall probabilities: Switzerland 79%, draw 15%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 6%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 79%
model top outcome · 79%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Switzerland 79% / Draw 15% / Bosnia-Herzegovina 6%; expected goals 2.48-0.58; BTTS 41%; blended best estimate 69.0%/19.9%/11.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina. Model pick: Switzerland. Actual result: Switzerland.
Brier contribution: 0.0711 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Switzerland win: 79%
- Draw: 15%
- Bosnia-Herzegovina win: 6%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.48 - 0.58
- Over 2.5: 59%
- Both teams to score: 41%
Model Ratings
Switzerland Elo 1995 · Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1667
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina have met 2 times: 1 Switzerland win, 0 draws, 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina win.
- Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia-Herzegovina · 2026-06-18 · FIFA World Cup
- Switzerland 0–2 Bosnia-Herzegovina · 2016-03-29
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
The model installs Switzerland clear favourites at 79% in this Group B fixture at Los Angeles Stadium — Switzerland 79%, the draw 15%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 6%. A big Elo gap in Switzerland's favour (1995 vs 1667), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 41%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Switzerland are favoured at 79%. Switzerland 79% / Draw 15% / Bosnia-Herzegovina 6%.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 61.1% Switzerland win, 23.4% draw, 15.5% Bosnia-Herzegovina win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 69.0% / 19.9% / 11.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 41%.
What is the head-to-head record between Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina have met 2 times: 1 Switzerland win, 0 draws, 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina win.