FootyTips 
Ivory Coast vs Norway 
Prediction
· Round of 32 · Dallas Stadium
Match Status
Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Norway to win at 54%. Overall probabilities: Ivory Coast 20%, draw 26%, Norway 54%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 54%
model top outcome · 54%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Ivory Coast 20% / Draw 26% / Norway 54%; expected goals 0.89-1.62; BTTS 48%; blended best estimate 24.3%/27.1%/48.6%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway. Model pick: Norway. Actual result: Norway.
Brier contribution: 0.3153 · settled 2026-08-19
Win Probability
- Ivory Coast win: 20%
- Draw: 26%
- Norway win: 54%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.89 - 1.62
- Over 2.5: 46%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Ivory Coast Elo 1839 · Norway Elo 2022
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-30. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Ivory Coast and Norway have met 1 time: 0 Ivory Coast wins, 0 draws, 1 Norway win.
- Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway · 2026-06-30 · FIFA World Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
The model installs Norway clear favourites at 54% in this World Cup 2026 fixture at Dallas Stadium — Ivory Coast 20%, the draw 26%, Norway 54%. A clear Elo edge to Norway (2022 vs 1839), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Norway are favoured at 54%. Ivory Coast 20% / Draw 26% / Norway 54%.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Ivory Coast vs Norway?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 27.5% Ivory Coast win, 27.8% draw, 44.7% Norway win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 24.3% / 27.1% / 48.6%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Ivory Coast vs Norway have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ivory Coast and Norway?
Ivory Coast and Norway have met 1 time: 0 Ivory Coast wins, 0 draws, 1 Norway win.