Brazil vs Haiti Prediction

Jun 20, 12:30 AM UTC · Group Stage - 2 · Philadelphia Stadium

Match Status

Brazil 3-0 Haiti · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Brazil to win at 84%. Overall probabilities: Brazil 84%, draw 12%, Haiti 4%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 84%

Brazil 3-0 Haiti result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brazil
model top outcome · 84%

2-0
model score forecast

64%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Brazil 84% / Draw 12% / Haiti 4%; expected goals 2.77-0.52; BTTS 38%; blended best estimate 86.1%/9.9%/3.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/brazil-vs-haiti-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/brazil-vs-haiti.png" alt="Brazil vs Haiti prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Brazil 3-0 Haiti. Model pick: Brazil. Actual result: Brazil.

Brier contribution: 0.0421 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Brazil win: 84%
Draw: 12%
Haiti win: 4%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.77 - 0.52
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams to score: 38%

Model Ratings

Brazil Elo 2075 · Haiti Elo 1673

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Brazil and Haiti have met 4 times: 4 Brazil wins, 0 draws, 0 Haiti wins.

Brazil 3–0 Haiti · 2026-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
Brazil 7–1 Haiti · 2016-06-08 · Copa América
Haiti 0–6 Brazil · 2004-08-18
Brazil 4–0 Haiti · 1974-04-21

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model makes Brazil clear favourites at 84% in this Group C fixture at Philadelphia Stadium — Brazil 84%, the draw 12%, Haiti 4%. A big Elo gap in Brazil's favour (2075 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 38%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Brazil vs Haiti?

Brazil are favoured at 84%. Brazil 84% / Draw 12% / Haiti 4%.

What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Haiti?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Brazil vs Haiti?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 87.5% Brazil win, 8.9% draw, 3.6% Haiti win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 86.1% / 9.9% / 3.9%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Brazil vs Haiti have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brazil vs Haiti?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 38%.

What is the head-to-head record between Brazil and Haiti?

Brazil and Haiti have met 4 times: 4 Brazil wins, 0 draws, 0 Haiti wins.