FootyTips 
Switzerland vs Canada 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · BC Place Vancouver
Match Status
Switzerland 2-1 Canada · FT · Miss
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Canada narrowly favoured (43%). Overall probabilities: Switzerland 29%, draw 28%, Canada 43%; model score 1-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 43%
model top outcome · 43%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Switzerland 29% / Draw 28% / Canada 43%; expected goals 1.07-1.35; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 35.9%/30.3%/33.8%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Switzerland 2-1 Canada. Model pick: Canada. Actual result: Switzerland.
Brier contribution: 0.7622 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Switzerland win: 29%
- Draw: 28%
- Canada win: 43%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.07 - 1.35
- Over 2.5: 43%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Switzerland Elo 1995 · Canada Elo 1841
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-24. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Switzerland and Canada have met 2 times: 1 Switzerland win, 0 draws, 1 Canada win.
- Canada 1–2 Switzerland · 2026-06-24 · FIFA World Cup
- Switzerland 1–3 Canada · 2002-05-15
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Group B fixture at BC Place Vancouver: Switzerland 29%, the draw 28%, Canada 43%. With a clear Elo edge to Switzerland (1995 vs 1841), Canada are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–1.
Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Switzerland vs Canada?
Canada are favoured at 43%. Switzerland 29% / Draw 28% / Canada 43%.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Canada?
Our model score forecast is 1-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Switzerland vs Canada?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 40.4% Switzerland win, 31.1% draw, 28.5% Canada win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 35.9% / 30.3% / 33.8%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Switzerland vs Canada have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Canada?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between Switzerland and Canada?
Switzerland and Canada have met 2 times: 1 Switzerland win, 0 draws, 1 Canada win.