Morocco vs Haiti Prediction

Jun 24, 10:00 PM UTC · Group Stage - 3 · Atlanta Stadium

Match Status

Morocco 4-2 Haiti · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Morocco to win at 81%. Overall probabilities: Morocco 81%, draw 13%, Haiti 6%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 81%

Morocco 4-2 Haiti result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Morocco
model top outcome · 81%

2-0
model score forecast

61%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-24
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Morocco 81% / Draw 13% / Haiti 6%; expected goals 2.61-0.55; BTTS 40%; blended best estimate 81.4%/13.3%/5.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/morocco-vs-haiti-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/morocco-vs-haiti.png" alt="Morocco vs Haiti prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Morocco 4-2 Haiti. Model pick: Morocco. Actual result: Morocco.

Brier contribution: 0.0564 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Morocco win: 81%
Draw: 13%
Haiti win: 6%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.61 - 0.55
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams to score: 40%

Model Ratings

Morocco Elo 2028 · Haiti Elo 1673

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-24. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Morocco and Haiti have met 1 time: 1 Morocco win, 0 draws, 0 Haiti wins.

Morocco 4–2 Haiti · 2026-06-24 · FIFA World Cup

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model makes Morocco clear favourites at 81% in this Group C fixture at Atlanta Stadium — Morocco 81%, the draw 13%, Haiti 6%. A big Elo gap in Morocco's favour (2028 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 40%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?

Morocco are favoured at 81%. Morocco 81% / Draw 13% / Haiti 6%.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Morocco vs Haiti?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 81.6% Morocco win, 13.2% draw, 5.2% Haiti win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 81.4% / 13.3% / 5.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Morocco vs Haiti have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Morocco vs Haiti?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 40%.

What is the head-to-head record between Morocco and Haiti?

Morocco and Haiti have met 1 time: 1 Morocco win, 0 draws, 0 Haiti wins.