Jordan vs Argentina Prediction

Jun 28, 02:00 AM UTC · Group Stage - 3 · Dallas Stadium

Match Status

Jordan 1-3 Argentina · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Argentina to win at 94%. Overall probabilities: Jordan 1%, draw 5%, Argentina 94%; model score 0-3.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 94%

Jordan 1-3 Argentina result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Argentina
model top outcome · 94%

0-3
model score forecast

80%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-28
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Jordan 1% / Draw 5% / Argentina 94%; expected goals 0.37-3.91; BTTS 30%; blended best estimate 2.4%/7.5%/90.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/jordan-vs-argentina-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/jordan-vs-argentina.png" alt="Jordan vs Argentina prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Jordan 1-3 Argentina. Model pick: Argentina. Actual result: Argentina.

Brier contribution: 0.0052 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Jordan win: 1%
Draw: 5%
Argentina win: 94%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-3
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.37 - 3.91
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams to score: 30%

Model Ratings

Jordan Elo 1716 · Argentina Elo 2271

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-28. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Jordan and Argentina have met 1 time: 0 Jordan wins, 0 draws, 1 Argentina win.

Jordan 1–3 Argentina · 2026-06-27 · FIFA World Cup

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model makes Argentina clear favourites at 94% in this Group J fixture at Dallas Stadium — Jordan 1%, the draw 5%, Argentina 94%. A big Elo gap in Argentina's favour (2271 vs 1716), and the model score forecast is 0–3.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams to score at 30%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Jordan vs Argentina?

Argentina are favoured at 94%. Jordan 1% / Draw 5% / Argentina 94%.

What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Argentina?

Our model score forecast is 0-3, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Jordan vs Argentina?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 4.1% Jordan win, 10.3% draw, 85.6% Argentina win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 2.4% / 7.5% / 90.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Jordan vs Argentina have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jordan vs Argentina?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 30%.

What is the head-to-head record between Jordan and Argentina?

Jordan and Argentina have met 1 time: 0 Jordan wins, 0 draws, 1 Argentina win.