Switzerland vs Colombia Prediction

Jul 7, 08:00 PM UTC · Round of 16 · BC Place Vancouver

Match Status

Switzerland 0-0 Colombia · FT · Miss

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Colombia to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Switzerland 25%, draw 28%, Colombia 47%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Switzerland 0-0 Colombia result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Colombia
model top outcome · 47%

0-1
model score forecast

44%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-07-07
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Switzerland 25% / Draw 28% / Colombia 47%; expected goals 0.99-1.45; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 26.3%/29.8%/44.0%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/switzerland-vs-colombia-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/switzerland-vs-colombia.png" alt="Switzerland vs Colombia prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Miss: Final score Switzerland 0-0 Colombia. Model pick: Colombia. Actual result: Draw.

Brier contribution: 0.8137 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Switzerland win: 25%
Draw: 28%
Colombia win: 47%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.99 - 1.45
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams to score: 49%

Model Ratings

Switzerland Elo 1995 · Colombia Elo 2082

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-07-07. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Switzerland and Colombia have met 5 times: 1 Switzerland win, 2 draws, 2 Colombia wins.

Switzerland 0–0 Colombia · 2026-07-07 · FIFA World Cup
Colombia 3–1 Switzerland · 2007-03-25
Switzerland 0–2 Colombia · 1994-06-26 · FIFA World Cup
Colombia 2–3 Switzerland · 1991-02-03 · Miami Cup
Colombia 2–2 Switzerland · 1985-02-01

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model has Colombia clear favourites at 47% in this World Cup 2026 fixture at BC Place Vancouver — Switzerland 25%, the draw 28%, Colombia 47%. A clear Elo edge to Colombia (2082 vs 1995), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Switzerland vs Colombia?

Colombia are favoured at 47%. Switzerland 25% / Draw 28% / Colombia 47%.

What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Colombia?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Switzerland vs Colombia?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 26.9% Switzerland win, 31.3% draw, 41.8% Colombia win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 26.3% / 29.8% / 44.0%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Switzerland vs Colombia have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Colombia?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.

What is the head-to-head record between Switzerland and Colombia?

Switzerland and Colombia have met 5 times: 1 Switzerland win, 2 draws, 2 Colombia wins.