FootyTips 
Haiti vs Scotland 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 1 · Boston Stadium
Match Status
Haiti 0-1 Scotland · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Scotland to win at 55%. Overall probabilities: Haiti 19%, draw 26%, Scotland 55%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 55%
model top outcome · 55%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Haiti 19% / Draw 26% / Scotland 55%; expected goals 0.87-1.65; BTTS 47%; blended best estimate 17.5%/22.5%/59.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Haiti 0-1 Scotland. Model pick: Scotland. Actual result: Scotland.
Brier contribution: 0.3012 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Haiti win: 19%
- Draw: 26%
- Scotland win: 55%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.87 - 1.65
- Over 2.5: 46%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Model Ratings
Haiti Elo 1673 · Scotland Elo 1825
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Haiti and Scotland have met 1 time: 0 Haiti wins, 0 draws, 1 Scotland win.
- Haiti 0–1 Scotland · 2026-06-13 · FIFA World Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model has Scotland clear favourites at 55% in this Group C fixture at Boston Stadium — Haiti 19%, the draw 26%, Scotland 55%. A clear Elo edge to Scotland (1825 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Haiti vs Scotland?
Scotland are favoured at 55%. Haiti 19% / Draw 26% / Scotland 55%.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Scotland?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Haiti vs Scotland?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 16.4% Haiti win, 20.7% draw, 62.9% Scotland win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 17.5% / 22.5% / 59.9%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Haiti vs Scotland have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Haiti vs Scotland?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between Haiti and Scotland?
Haiti and Scotland have met 1 time: 0 Haiti wins, 0 draws, 1 Scotland win.