FootyTips 
Jordan vs Algeria 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Match Status
Jordan 1-2 Algeria · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Algeria to win at 51%. Overall probabilities: Jordan 22%, draw 27%, Algeria 51%; model score 1-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 51%
model top outcome · 51%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Jordan 22% / Draw 27% / Algeria 51%; expected goals 0.93-1.54; BTTS 48%; blended best estimate 17.0%/23.9%/59.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Jordan 1-2 Algeria. Model pick: Algeria. Actual result: Algeria.
Brier contribution: 0.3597 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Jordan win: 22%
- Draw: 27%
- Algeria win: 51%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.93 - 1.54
- Over 2.5: 45%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Jordan Elo 1716 · Algeria Elo 1857
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Jordan and Algeria have met 3 times: 0 Jordan wins, 1 draw, 2 Algeria wins.
- Jordan 1–2 Algeria · 2026-06-22 · FIFA World Cup
- Algeria 1–1 Jordan · 2004-05-30
- Algeria 6–0 Jordan · 1974-09-29 · Kuneitra Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model has Algeria clear favourites at 51% in this Group J fixture at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium — Jordan 22%, the draw 27%, Algeria 51%. A clear Elo edge to Algeria (1857 vs 1716), and the model score forecast is 1–1.
Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Jordan vs Algeria?
Algeria are favoured at 51%. Jordan 22% / Draw 27% / Algeria 51%.
What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Algeria?
Our model score forecast is 1-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Jordan vs Algeria?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 14.0% Jordan win, 21.9% draw, 64.1% Algeria win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 17.0% / 23.9% / 59.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Jordan vs Algeria have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jordan vs Algeria?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Jordan and Algeria?
Jordan and Algeria have met 3 times: 0 Jordan wins, 1 draw, 2 Algeria wins.