FootyTips 
Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · Houston Stadium
Match Status
Cape Verde 0-0 Saudi Arabia · FT · Miss
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Saudi Arabia narrowly favoured (36%). Overall probabilities: Cape Verde 35%, draw 29%, Saudi Arabia 36%; model score 1-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 36%
model top outcome · 36%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Cape Verde 35% / Draw 29% / Saudi Arabia 36%; expected goals 1.19-1.21; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 35.4%/28.5%/36.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Cape Verde 0-0 Saudi Arabia. Model pick: Saudi Arabia. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.7625 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Cape Verde win: 35%
- Draw: 29%
- Saudi Arabia win: 36%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.19 - 1.21
- Over 2.5: 43%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Cape Verde Elo 1700 · Saudi Arabia Elo 1705
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-26. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia have met 1 time: 0 Cape Verde wins, 1 draw, 0 Saudi Arabia wins.
- Cape Verde 0–0 Saudi Arabia · 2026-06-26 · FIFA World Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model makes this a tight, evenly-matched Group H fixture at Houston Stadium: Cape Verde 35%, the draw 29%, Saudi Arabia 36%. With near-level Elo ratings (Cape Verde 1700, Saudi Arabia 1705), Saudi Arabia are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–1.
Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia?
Saudi Arabia are favoured at 36%. Cape Verde 35% / Draw 29% / Saudi Arabia 36%.
What is the predicted score for Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia?
Our model score forecast is 1-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 35.4% Cape Verde win, 28.3% draw, 36.2% Saudi Arabia win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 35.4% / 28.5% / 36.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia?
Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia have met 1 time: 0 Cape Verde wins, 1 draw, 0 Saudi Arabia wins.