Panama vs England Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · MetLife Stadium
Our model gives England a 76% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 0–2.
Win Probability
- Panama win: 9%
- Draw: 15%
- England win: 76%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 0–2
- Expected goals (model λ): 0.72 – 2.52
- Over 2.5 goals: 63%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Model Ratings
Panama Elo 1710 · England Elo 2010
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
England are heavily favoured at 76% against Panama (9%), with the draw at 15% and a 0–2 the most likely result. England's quality (2010 vs 1710) should be decisive in this final-round game.
Panama will defend deep and hope to frustrate. Over 2.5 at 63%. England will look to secure top spot and momentum heading into the knockouts, while Panama aim to compete and spring a surprise.
FAQ
Who will win Panama vs England?
England are favoured with a 76% win probability. Panama 9% / Draw 15% / England 76%.
What is the predicted score for Panama vs England?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 0–2.
Will Panama vs England have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panama vs England?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.