FootyTips 
Panama vs England 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · New York/New Jersey Stadium
Match Status
Panama 0-2 England · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours England to win at 79%. Overall probabilities: Panama 6%, draw 15%, England 79%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 79%
model top outcome · 79%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Panama 6% / Draw 15% / England 79%; expected goals 0.57-2.51; BTTS 40%; blended best estimate 6.4%/11.9%/81.6%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Panama 0-2 England. Model pick: England. Actual result: England.
Brier contribution: 0.0681 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Panama win: 6%
- Draw: 15%
- England win: 79%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.57 - 2.51
- Over 2.5: 59%
- Both teams to score: 40%
Model Ratings
Panama Elo 1774 · England Elo 2146
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-27. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Panama and England have met 2 times: 0 Panama wins, 0 draws, 2 England wins.
- Panama 0–2 England · 2026-06-27 · FIFA World Cup
- England 6–1 Panama · 2018-06-24 · FIFA World Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model rates England clear favourites at 79% in this Group L fixture at New York/New Jersey Stadium — Panama 6%, the draw 15%, England 79%. A big Elo gap in England's favour (2146 vs 1774), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 40%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Panama vs England?
England are favoured at 79%. Panama 6% / Draw 15% / England 79%.
What is the predicted score for Panama vs England?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Panama vs England?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 6.6% Panama win, 10.4% draw, 83.0% England win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 6.4% / 11.9% / 81.6%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Panama vs England have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panama vs England?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between Panama and England?
Panama and England have met 2 times: 0 Panama wins, 0 draws, 2 England wins.