FootyTips 
Qatar vs Switzerland 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 1 · San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Match Status
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland · FT · Miss
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Switzerland to win at 87%. Overall probabilities: Qatar 3%, draw 10%, Switzerland 87%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 87%
model top outcome · 87%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Qatar 3% / Draw 10% / Switzerland 87%; expected goals 0.48-2.99; BTTS 36%; blended best estimate 4.8%/12.6%/82.6%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Qatar 1-1 Switzerland. Model pick: Switzerland. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 1.5680 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Qatar win: 3%
- Draw: 10%
- Switzerland win: 87%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.48 - 2.99
- Over 2.5: 67%
- Both teams to score: 36%
Model Ratings
Qatar Elo 1539 · Switzerland Elo 1995
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Qatar and Switzerland have met 2 times: 1 Qatar win, 1 draw, 0 Switzerland wins.
- Qatar 1–1 Switzerland · 2026-06-13 · FIFA World Cup
- Switzerland 0–1 Qatar · 2018-11-14
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model makes Switzerland clear favourites at 87% in this Group B fixture at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium — Qatar 3%, the draw 10%, Switzerland 87%. A big Elo gap in Switzerland's favour (1995 vs 1539), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 36%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Qatar vs Switzerland?
Switzerland are favoured at 87%. Qatar 3% / Draw 10% / Switzerland 87%.
What is the predicted score for Qatar vs Switzerland?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Qatar vs Switzerland?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 6.1% Qatar win, 14.7% draw, 79.2% Switzerland win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 4.8% / 12.6% / 82.6%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Qatar vs Switzerland have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Qatar vs Switzerland?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 36%.
What is the head-to-head record between Qatar and Switzerland?
Qatar and Switzerland have met 2 times: 1 Qatar win, 1 draw, 0 Switzerland wins.