Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · Lincoln Financial Field
Our model gives Ivory Coast a 52% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 1–1.
Win Probability
- Curaçao win: 24%
- Draw: 24%
- Ivory Coast win: 52%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 1–1
- Expected goals (model λ): 1.08 – 1.69
- Over 2.5 goals: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Curaçao Elo 1650 · Ivory Coast Elo 1790
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Ivory Coast are favoured at 52% against Curaçao (24%), with the draw also at 24%. The rating gap (1790 vs 1650) is clear, though in a one-goal game the single likeliest scoreline is a 1–1.
By the final round this could carry real stakes for Ivory Coast's qualification hopes. Both teams to score at 54%. Curaçao will sense their best chance of a famous result here, against the group's most beatable seeded side.
FAQ
Who will win Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Ivory Coast are favoured with a 52% win probability. Curaçao 24% / Draw 24% / Ivory Coast 52%.
What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 1–1.
Will Curaçao vs Ivory Coast have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.