FootyTips 
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · Philadelphia Stadium
Match Status
Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Ivory Coast to win at 67%. Overall probabilities: Curaçao 12%, draw 21%, Ivory Coast 67%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 67%
model top outcome · 67%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Curaçao 12% / Draw 21% / Ivory Coast 67%; expected goals 0.71-2.02; BTTS 45%; blended best estimate 7.2%/15.4%/77.4%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast. Model pick: Ivory Coast. Actual result: Ivory Coast.
Brier contribution: 0.1623 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Curaçao win: 12%
- Draw: 21%
- Ivory Coast win: 67%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.71 - 2.02
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 45%
Model Ratings
Curaçao Elo 1602 · Ivory Coast Elo 1839
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-25. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Curaçao and Ivory Coast have met 1 time: 0 Curaçao wins, 0 draws, 1 Ivory Coast win.
- Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast · 2026-06-25 · FIFA World Cup
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model makes Ivory Coast clear favourites at 67% in this Group E fixture at Philadelphia Stadium — Curaçao 12%, the draw 21%, Ivory Coast 67%. A big Elo gap in Ivory Coast's favour (1839 vs 1602), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 45%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Ivory Coast are favoured at 67%. Curaçao 12% / Draw 21% / Ivory Coast 67%.
What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 5.0% Curaçao win, 12.4% draw, 82.6% Ivory Coast win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 7.2% / 15.4% / 77.4%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Curaçao vs Ivory Coast have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Curaçao vs Ivory Coast?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 45%.
What is the head-to-head record between Curaçao and Ivory Coast?
Curaçao and Ivory Coast have met 1 time: 0 Curaçao wins, 0 draws, 1 Ivory Coast win.