FootyTipsWorld Cup 2026 — Final Model Review
Every call was published before kickoff and settled in public. This page is the permanent summary; the full match-by-match ledger stays online.
67/104Hit rate 64.4%
104Settled calls
0.502Brier score
+4.7uFlat-stake ROI +4.6%
Most confident correct calls
Highest model probability on the settled outcome — the calls the model got right and said so loudly.
Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia Spain · Model 95.7% on the pick · final 4–0 96% / 3% / 1% Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde Argentina · Model 95.5% on the pick · final 3–2 95% / 4% / 1% Jordan 1–3 Argentina Argentina · Model 94.4% on the pick · final 1–3 1% / 5% / 94% Canada 6–0 Qatar Canada · Model 91.2% on the pick · final 6–0 91% / 7% / 2%
Biggest misses
Highest model confidence on calls that went the other way. Kept in full — misses are part of the record.
Spain 0–0 Cape Verde Spain · Model 97.0% on the pick · final 0–0 97% / 2% / 1% England 0–0 Ghana England · Model 91.2% on the pick · final 0–0 91% / 7% / 2% Ecuador 0–0 Curaçao Ecuador · Model 89.5% on the pick · final 0–0 90% / 8% / 2% Qatar 1–1 Switzerland Switzerland · Model 86.8% on the pick · final 1–1 3% / 10% / 87%