FootyTips 
Germany vs Ivory Coast 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Toronto Stadium
Match Status
Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Germany to win at 64%. Overall probabilities: Germany 64%, draw 22%, Ivory Coast 14%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 64%
model top outcome · 64%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Germany 64% / Draw 22% / Ivory Coast 14%; expected goals 1.90-0.76; BTTS 46%; blended best estimate 64.8%/20.9%/14.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast. Model pick: Germany. Actual result: Germany.
Brier contribution: 0.1986 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- Germany win: 64%
- Draw: 22%
- Ivory Coast win: 14%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.90 - 0.76
- Over 2.5: 50%
- Both teams to score: 46%
Model Ratings
Germany Elo 1985 · Ivory Coast Elo 1839
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
Germany and Ivory Coast have met 2 times: 1 Germany win, 1 draw, 0 Ivory Coast wins.
- Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast · 2026-06-20 · FIFA World Cup
- Germany 2–2 Ivory Coast · 2009-11-18
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model makes Germany clear favourites at 64% in this Group E fixture at Toronto Stadium — Germany 64%, the draw 22%, Ivory Coast 14%. A clear Elo edge to Germany (1985 vs 1839), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 46%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Germany are favoured at 64%. Germany 64% / Draw 22% / Ivory Coast 14%.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Germany vs Ivory Coast?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 65.4% Germany win, 20.1% draw, 14.5% Ivory Coast win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 64.8% / 20.9% / 14.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Germany vs Ivory Coast have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 46%.
What is the head-to-head record between Germany and Ivory Coast?
Germany and Ivory Coast have met 2 times: 1 Germany win, 1 draw, 0 Ivory Coast wins.