Model probability vs market odds
Today's football value bets: 1 model edge
Built for pre-match bettors comparing model probability, market implied odds and the best available price. Use these as value leads for your own betting research, not guaranteed picks.
Live model record
The public scoreboard behind every pick
The model is 66/102 on settled World Cup 2026 calls (64.7%), with every hit and miss published in the results ledger.
Today / next matchday: 2026-07-18
1 matchThe nearest matchday board stays close to the value picks, with live scores and settlement status when available.
Next up
Upcoming matches in the next 48 hours — tap through for the full prediction and odds.
Latest Public Receipts
Every finished match is settled in public, including misses.
Public Track Record
56.6%
World Cup backtest hit rate across 22 tournamentsBrier 0.570
Probability quality, not only top-pick accuracy 102
2026 settled matches · 64.7% hit rate
World Cup backtest hit rate across 22 tournamentsBrier 0.570
Probability quality, not only top-pick accuracy 102
2026 settled matches · 64.7% hit rate
Explore the Tournament
⚖️ Market Edge
Model vs odds🥇 Who Will Win?
AI title-winner odds📆 Predictions Today
Matches on the day📅 Full Schedule
All 72 group-stage matches🏆 Groups A–L
12 groups · 48 teams🪜 Knockout Bracket
Road to the final✅ Track Record
56.6% across 22 World Cups📊 How It Works
Our prediction model
Model vs odds🥇 Who Will Win?
AI title-winner odds📆 Predictions Today
Matches on the day📅 Full Schedule
All 72 group-stage matches🏆 Groups A–L
12 groups · 48 teams🪜 Knockout Bracket
Road to the final✅ Track Record
56.6% across 22 World Cups📊 How It Works
Our prediction model
Featured Predictions
Spain vs Argentina · Final Not started
Spain 39% Draw 29% Argentina 32%
Kickoff 19:00 UTC · Spain favoured · model score 1–0 Football Data & Insights
Data deep-dives from 150 years and 49,000+ international matches.



