FootyTips 
Switzerland vs Algeria 
Prediction
· Round of 32 · BC Place Vancouver
Match Status
Kickoff 03:00 UTC · Not started
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Switzerland to win at 48%. Overall probabilities: Switzerland 48%, draw 27%, Algeria 25%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 48%
model top outcome · 48%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
This match value signal
Signal: Switzerland win
Model 47.8% vs market 46.0%, edge +1.8pp.
Best available odds: 2.11 at 1xbet · odds value +1%.
Re-check lineups and the live price before kickoff. Probabilities are research inputs, not guarantees.
No bet: the current top sportsbook price for Switzerland win is 2.11 with 1xbet. The model has it at 47.8% versus a de-vigged market probability of 46.0% (+1.8pp edge).
Model and market are close; no clear value signal. Market-probability snapshot: 2026-06-30T19:20:44.596Z.
This match value signal
Signal: Algeria win
Model 24.9% vs market 24.9%, edge -0.0pp.
Best available odds: 4.1 at cloudbet · odds value +2%.
Re-check lineups and the live price before kickoff. Probabilities are research inputs, not guarantees.
No bet: the current top sportsbook price for Algeria win is 4.10 with cloudbet. The model has it at 24.9% versus a de-vigged market probability of 24.9% (-0.0pp edge).
Model and market are close; no clear value signal. Market-probability snapshot: 2026-06-30T19:20:44.596Z.
This match value signal
Signal: Draw
Model 27.4% vs market 29.1%, edge -1.7pp.
Best available odds: 3.405 at 1xbet · odds value -7%.
Re-check lineups and the live price before kickoff. Probabilities are research inputs, not guarantees.
No bet: the current top sportsbook price for Draw is 3.40 with 1xbet. The model has it at 27.4% versus a de-vigged market probability of 29.1% (-1.7pp edge).
Model and market are close; no clear value signal. Market-probability snapshot: 2026-06-30T19:20:44.596Z.
| Source | Switzerland | Draw | Algeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model — FootyTips Elo + Poisson | 47.8% | 27.4% | 24.9% |
| Market — de-vigged odds (1xbet) | 46.0% | 29.1% | 24.9% |
| Best estimate — model × market blend | 46.7% | 28.4% | 24.9% |
"Best estimate" blends the FootyTips model with de-vigged market odds from 1xbet (via Odds-API.io) at 40/60 in log space, frozen at kickoff.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
| Sportsbook | Switzerland | Draw | Algeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.8 |
| 1xbet | 2.11 | 3.405 | 4.035 |
| bcgame ↗ | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.95 |
| cloudbet | 2.02 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| vave | 2.06 | 3.3 | 3.95 |
| duelbits ↗ | 2.08 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| ★ Best | 2.11 1xbet | 3.405 1xbet | 4.1 cloudbet |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site.
Citable facts: Switzerland 48% / Draw 27% / Algeria 25%; expected goals 1.46-0.98; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 46.7%/28.4%/24.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results, market odds from 1xbet via Odds-API.io (snapshot 2026-06-30T19:20:44.596Z). Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Switzerland win: 48%
- Draw: 27%
- Algeria win: 25%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.46 - 0.98
- Over 2.5: 44%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Switzerland Elo 1974 · Algeria Elo 1891
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-07-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Switzerland clear favourites at 48% in this World Cup 2026 fixture at BC Place Vancouver — Switzerland 48%, the draw 27%, Algeria 25%. A clear Elo edge to Switzerland (1974 vs 1891), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Switzerland vs Algeria?
Switzerland are favoured at 48%. Switzerland 48% / Draw 27% / Algeria 25%.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Algeria?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Switzerland vs Algeria?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from 1xbet imply 46.0% Switzerland win, 29.1% draw, 24.9% Algeria win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 46.7% / 28.4% / 24.9%. Market-probability snapshot: 2026-06-30T19:20:44.596Z.
Will Switzerland vs Algeria have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Algeria?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.