FootyTips 
England vs Ghana 
Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Boston Stadium
Match Status
England 0-0 Ghana · FT · Miss
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours England to win at 91%. Overall probabilities: England 91%, draw 7%, Ghana 2%; model score 3-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 91%
model top outcome · 91%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: England 91% / Draw 7% / Ghana 2%; expected goals 3.42-0.42; BTTS 33%; blended best estimate 86.1%/10.3%/3.6%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score England 0-0 Ghana. Model pick: England. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 1.6986 · settled 2026-07-19
Win Probability
- England win: 91%
- Draw: 7%
- Ghana win: 2%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 3-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 3.42 - 0.42
- Over 2.5: 73%
- Both teams to score: 33%
Model Ratings
England Elo 2146 · Ghana Elo 1701
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Head-to-Head
England and Ghana have met 2 times: 0 England wins, 2 draws, 0 Ghana wins.
- England 0–0 Ghana · 2026-06-23 · FIFA World Cup
- England 1–1 Ghana · 2011-03-29
Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).
Analysis
Our model rates England clear favourites at 91% in this Group L fixture at Boston Stadium — England 91%, the draw 7%, Ghana 2%. A big Elo gap in England's favour (2146 vs 1701), and the model score forecast is 3–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 33%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win England vs Ghana?
England are favoured at 91%. England 91% / Draw 7% / Ghana 2%.
What is the predicted score for England vs Ghana?
Our model score forecast is 3-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about England vs Ghana?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 81.4% England win, 13.3% draw, 5.3% Ghana win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 86.1% / 10.3% / 3.6%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will England vs Ghana have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in England vs Ghana?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 33%.
What is the head-to-head record between England and Ghana?
England and Ghana have met 2 times: 0 England wins, 2 draws, 0 Ghana wins.