South Korea vs Czech Republic Prediction

Jun 12, 02:00 AM UTC · Group Stage - 1 · Guadalajara Stadium

Match Status

South Korea 2-1 Czech Republic · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours South Korea to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: South Korea 47%, draw 28%, Czech Republic 25%; model score 1-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

South Korea 2-1 Czech Republic result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

South Korea
model top outcome · 47%

1-1
model score forecast

44%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: South Korea 47% / Draw 28% / Czech Republic 25%; expected goals 1.45-0.99; BTTS 49%; blended best estimate 40.1%/29.6%/30.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/south-korea-vs-czech-republic-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/south-korea-vs-czech-republic.png" alt="South Korea vs Czech Republic prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score South Korea 2-1 Czech Republic. Model pick: South Korea. Actual result: South Korea.

Brier contribution: 0.4189 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

South Korea win: 47%
Draw: 28%
Czech Republic win: 25%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.45 - 0.99
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams to score: 49%

Model Ratings

South Korea Elo 1840 · Czech Republic Elo 1754

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

South Korea and Czech Republic have met 4 times: 2 South Korea wins, 1 draw, 1 Czech Republic win.

South Korea 2–1 Czech Republic · 2026-06-11 · FIFA World Cup
Czech Republic 1–2 South Korea · 2016-06-05
Czech Republic 5–0 South Korea · 2001-08-15
South Korea 2–2 Czech Republic · 1998-05-27

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model has South Korea clear favourites at 47% in this Group A fixture at Guadalajara Stadium — South Korea 47%, the draw 28%, Czech Republic 25%. A clear Elo edge to South Korea (1840 vs 1754), and the model score forecast is 1–1.

Expect a cagey game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win South Korea vs Czech Republic?

South Korea are favoured at 47%. South Korea 47% / Draw 28% / Czech Republic 25%.

What is the predicted score for South Korea vs Czech Republic?

Our model score forecast is 1-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about South Korea vs Czech Republic?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 35.5% South Korea win, 30.8% draw, 33.7% Czech Republic win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 40.1% / 29.6% / 30.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will South Korea vs Czech Republic have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in South Korea vs Czech Republic?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.

What is the head-to-head record between South Korea and Czech Republic?

South Korea and Czech Republic have met 4 times: 2 South Korea wins, 1 draw, 1 Czech Republic win.