Scotland vs Brazil Prediction

Jun 24, 10:00 PM UTC · Group Stage - 3 · Miami Stadium

Match Status

Scotland 0-3 Brazil · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Brazil to win at 68%. Overall probabilities: Scotland 12%, draw 20%, Brazil 68%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 68%

Scotland 0-3 Brazil result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brazil
model top outcome · 68%

0-2
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-24
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Scotland 12% / Draw 20% / Brazil 68%; expected goals 0.70-2.04; BTTS 44%; blended best estimate 10.3%/18.5%/71.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/scotland-vs-brazil-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/scotland-vs-brazil.png" alt="Scotland vs Brazil prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI World Cup 2026 prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Scotland 0-3 Brazil. Model pick: Brazil. Actual result: Brazil.

Brier contribution: 0.1543 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Scotland win: 12%
Draw: 20%
Brazil win: 68%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.70 - 2.04
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 44%

Model Ratings

Scotland Elo 1825 · Brazil Elo 2075

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-24. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Scotland and Brazil have met 11 times: 0 Scotland wins, 2 draws, 9 Brazil wins.

Scotland 0–3 Brazil · 2026-06-24 · FIFA World Cup
Brazil 2–0 Scotland · 2011-03-27
Brazil 2–1 Scotland · 1998-06-10 · FIFA World Cup
Brazil 1–0 Scotland · 1990-06-20 · FIFA World Cup
Scotland 0–2 Brazil · 1987-05-26 · Rous Cup

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

Our model rates Brazil clear favourites at 68% in this Group C fixture at Miami Stadium — Scotland 12%, the draw 20%, Brazil 68%. A big Elo gap in Brazil's favour (2075 vs 1825), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 44%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Scotland vs Brazil?

Brazil are favoured at 68%. Scotland 12% / Draw 20% / Brazil 68%.

What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Brazil?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Scotland vs Brazil?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 9.6% Scotland win, 17.4% draw, 73.1% Brazil win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 10.3% / 18.5% / 71.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Scotland vs Brazil have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Scotland vs Brazil?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 44%.

What is the head-to-head record between Scotland and Brazil?

Scotland and Brazil have met 11 times: 0 Scotland wins, 2 draws, 9 Brazil wins.