Argentina vs Austria Prediction

Jun 22, 05:00 PM UTC · Group Stage - 2 · Dallas Stadium

Match Status

Argentina 2-0 Austria · FT · Hit

Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —

The model favours Argentina to win at 78%. Overall probabilities: Argentina 78%, draw 15%, Austria 7%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 78%

Argentina 2-0 Austria result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Argentina
model top outcome · 78%

2-0
model score forecast

58%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-06-11
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Argentina 78% / Draw 15% / Austria 7%; expected goals 2.44-0.59; BTTS 41%; blended best estimate 70.8%/19.3%/9.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/world-cup-2026/argentina-vs-austria-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/argentina-vs-austria.png" alt="Argentina vs Austria prediction — World Cup 2026" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Post-Match Result

Hit: Final score Argentina 2-0 Austria. Model pick: Argentina. Actual result: Argentina.

Brier contribution: 0.0766 · settled 2026-07-19

Win Probability

Argentina win: 78%
Draw: 15%
Austria win: 7%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.44 - 0.59
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams to score: 41%

Model Ratings

Argentina Elo 2271 · Austria Elo 1886

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-11. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Head-to-Head

Argentina and Austria have met 3 times: 2 Argentina wins, 1 draw, 0 Austria wins.

Argentina 2–0 Austria · 2026-06-22 · FIFA World Cup
Austria 1–1 Argentina · 1990-05-03
Austria 1–5 Argentina · 1980-05-21

Past meetings from the martj42 dataset (CC0).

Analysis

The model installs Argentina clear favourites at 78% in this Group J fixture at Dallas Stadium — Argentina 78%, the draw 15%, Austria 7%. A big Elo gap in Argentina's favour (2271 vs 1886), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 41%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.

FAQ

Who will win Argentina vs Austria?

Argentina are favoured at 78%. Argentina 78% / Draw 15% / Austria 7%.

What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Austria?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

What do betting markets say about Argentina vs Austria?

De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 65.3% Argentina win, 22.1% draw, 12.5% Austria win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 70.8% / 19.3% / 9.9%. Market-probability snapshot: null.

Will Argentina vs Austria have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentina vs Austria?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 41%.

What is the head-to-head record between Argentina and Austria?

Argentina and Austria have met 3 times: 2 Argentina wins, 1 draw, 0 Austria wins.