FootyTipsResultados de pronósticos del Mundial 2026
Liquidación transparente para cada partido terminado: marcador final, selección del modelo, resultado real, acierto/fallo y puntuación Brier.
76 partidos liquidados: 59.2% de acierto victoria/empate/derrota, Brier 0.5540. Este registro incluye todos los partidos terminados del Mundial 2026 en la base, también los fallos.
Partidos liquidados
Picks V/E/D correctos
Tasa de acierto
Brier medio
| Partido | Marcador final | Pick del modelo | Real | Resultado | Brier | Cuota usada | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs South Africa | 2–0 | Mexico | Mexico | Acierto | 0.0152 | 1.45 | +0.45u |
| South Korea vs Czech Republic | 2–1 | South Korea | South Korea | Acierto | 0.4189 | 2.73 | +1.73u |
| Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | 1–1 | Canada | Empate | Fallo | 1.5069 | 1.84 | -1.00u |
| USA vs Paraguay | 4–1 | USA | USA | Acierto | 0.5959 | — | — |
| Qatar vs Switzerland | 1–1 | Switzerland | Empate | Fallo | 1.5680 | 1.24 | -1.00u |
| Brazil vs Morocco | 1–1 | Brazil | Empate | Fallo | 0.8175 | 1.718 | -1.00u |
| Haiti vs Scotland | 0–1 | Scotland | Scotland | Acierto | 0.3012 | 1.567 | +0.57u |
| Australia vs Turkey | 2–0 | Turkey | Australia | Fallo | 0.8252 | 1.748 | -1.00u |
| Germany vs Curaçao | 7–1 | Germany | Germany | Acierto | 0.0250 | 1.066 | +0.07u |
| Netherlands vs Japan | 2–2 | Netherlands | Empate | Fallo | 0.7638 | 2.14 | -1.00u |
| Ivory Coast vs Ecuador | 1–0 | Ecuador | Ivory Coast | Fallo | 1.2694 | 2.68 | -1.00u |
| Sweden vs Tunisia | 5–1 | Sweden | Sweden | Acierto | 0.6208 | 1.951 | +0.95u |
| Spain vs Cape Verde | 0–0 | Spain | Empate | Fallo | 1.8924 | 1.093 | -1.00u |
| Belgium vs Egypt | 1–1 | Belgium | Empate | Fallo | 0.9693 | 1.634 | -1.00u |
| Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay | 1–1 | Uruguay | Empate | Fallo | 1.2829 | 1.489 | -1.00u |
| Iran vs New Zealand | 2–2 | Iran | Empate | Fallo | 0.9906 | 1.844 | -1.00u |
| France vs Senegal | 3–1 | France | France | Acierto | 0.1543 | 1.53 | +0.53u |
| Iraq vs Norway | 1–4 | Norway | Norway | Acierto | 0.1318 | 1.248 | +0.25u |
| Argentina vs Algeria | 3–0 | Argentina | Argentina | Acierto | 0.0688 | 1.474 | +0.47u |
| Austria vs Jordan | 3–1 | Austria | Austria | Acierto | 0.3382 | 1.445 | +0.45u |
| Portugal vs DR Congo | 1–1 | Portugal | Empate | Fallo | 1.3358 | 1.314 | -1.00u |
| England vs Croatia | 4–2 | England | England | Acierto | 0.3424 | 1.748 | +0.75u |
| Ghana vs Panama | 1–0 | Panama | Ghana | Fallo | 1.2395 | 3.407 | -1.00u |
| Uzbekistan vs Colombia | 1–3 | Colombia | Colombia | Acierto | 0.1306 | 1.436 | +0.44u |
| Czech Republic vs South Africa | 1–1 | Czech Republic | Empate | Fallo | 0.9398 | 1.895 | -1.00u |
| Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4–1 | Switzerland | Switzerland | Acierto | 0.0711 | 1.612 | +0.61u |
| Canada vs Qatar | 6–0 | Canada | Canada | Acierto | 0.0129 | 1.349 | +0.35u |
| Mexico vs South Korea | 1–0 | Mexico | Mexico | Acierto | 0.1940 | 2.125 | +1.13u |
| USA vs Australia | 2–0 | USA | USA | Acierto | 0.5499 | 1.661 | +0.66u |
| Scotland vs Morocco | 0–1 | Morocco | Morocco | Acierto | 0.3012 | 1.73 | +0.73u |
| Brazil vs Haiti | 3–0 | Brazil | Brazil | Acierto | 0.0421 | 1.14 | +0.14u |
| Turkey vs Paraguay | 0–1 | Turkey | Paraguay | Fallo | 0.7741 | 2.116 | -1.00u |
| Netherlands vs Sweden | 5–1 | Netherlands | Netherlands | Acierto | 0.1318 | 1.761 | +0.76u |
| Germany vs Ivory Coast | 2–1 | Germany | Germany | Acierto | 0.1986 | 1.526 | +0.53u |
| Ecuador vs Curaçao | 0–0 | Ecuador | Empate | Fallo | 1.6470 | 1.186 | -1.00u |
| Tunisia vs Japan | 0–4 | Japan | Japan | Acierto | 0.1465 | 1.516 | +0.52u |
| Spain vs Saudi Arabia | 4–0 | Spain | Spain | Acierto | 0.0031 | 1.125 | +0.12u |
| Belgium vs Iran | 0–0 | Belgium | Empate | Fallo | 0.7924 | 1.454 | -1.00u |
| Uruguay vs Cape Verde | 2–2 | Uruguay | Empate | Fallo | 1.3912 | 1.486 | -1.00u |
| New Zealand vs Egypt | 1–3 | Egypt | Egypt | Acierto | 0.4404 | 1.634 | +0.63u |
| Argentina vs Austria | 2–0 | Argentina | Argentina | Acierto | 0.0766 | 1.507 | +0.51u |
| France vs Iraq | 3–0 | France | France | Acierto | 0.0243 | 1.113 | +0.11u |
| Norway vs Senegal | 3–2 | Norway | Norway | Acierto | 0.4404 | 2.446 | +1.45u |
| Jordan vs Algeria | 1–2 | Algeria | Algeria | Acierto | 0.3597 | 1.583 | +0.58u |
| Portugal vs Uzbekistan | 5–0 | Portugal | Portugal | Acierto | 0.1415 | 1.179 | +0.18u |
| England vs Ghana | 0–0 | England | Empate | Fallo | 1.6986 | 1.218 | -1.00u |
| Panama vs Croatia | 0–1 | Croatia | Croatia | Acierto | 0.3298 | 1.474 | +0.47u |
| Colombia vs DR Congo | 1–0 | Colombia | Colombia | Acierto | 0.0681 | 1.592 | +0.59u |
| Switzerland vs Canada | 2–1 | Canada | Switzerland | Fallo | 0.7622 | 3.561 | -1.00u |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar | 3–1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | Bosnia-Herzegovina | Acierto | 0.4380 | 1.436 | +0.44u |
| Morocco vs Haiti | 4–2 | Morocco | Morocco | Acierto | 0.0564 | 1.206 | +0.21u |
| Scotland vs Brazil | 0–3 | Brazil | Brazil | Acierto | 0.1543 | 1.381 | +0.38u |
| South Africa vs South Korea | 1–0 | South Korea | South Africa | Fallo | 1.3284 | 1.73 | -1.00u |
| Czech Republic vs Mexico | 0–3 | Mexico | Mexico | Acierto | 0.0527 | 1.789 | +0.79u |
| Curaçao vs Ivory Coast | 0–2 | Ivory Coast | Ivory Coast | Acierto | 0.1623 | 1.211 | +0.21u |
| Ecuador vs Germany | 2–1 | Germany | Ecuador | Fallo | 0.8494 | 1.729 | -1.00u |
| Tunisia vs Netherlands | 1–3 | Netherlands | Netherlands | Acierto | 0.0447 | 1.135 | +0.14u |
| Japan vs Sweden | 1–1 | Japan | Empate | Fallo | 1.1076 | 2.366 | -1.00u |
| Paraguay vs Australia | 0–0 | Australia | Empate | Fallo | 0.7636 | 4.467 | -1.00u |
| Turkey vs USA | 3–2 | USA | Turkey | Fallo | 1.0404 | 2.165 | -1.00u |
| Norway vs France | 1–4 | France | France | Acierto | 0.2914 | 1.415 | +0.42u |
| Senegal vs Iraq | 5–0 | Senegal | Senegal | Acierto | 0.2539 | 1.264 | +0.26u |
| Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia | 0–0 | Saudi Arabia | Empate | Fallo | 0.7625 | 2.753 | -1.00u |
| Uruguay vs Spain | 0–1 | Spain | Spain | Acierto | 0.1096 | 1.748 | +0.75u |
| Egypt vs Iran | 1–1 | Iran | Empate | Fallo | 0.7795 | 3.655 | -1.00u |
| New Zealand vs Belgium | 1–5 | Belgium | Belgium | Acierto | 0.1342 | 1.218 | +0.22u |
| Croatia vs Ghana | 2–1 | Croatia | Croatia | Acierto | 0.1318 | 1.869 | +0.87u |
| Panama vs England | 0–2 | England | England | Acierto | 0.0681 | 1.186 | +0.19u |
| Colombia vs Portugal | 0–0 | Colombia | Empate | Fallo | 0.7692 | 4.277 | -1.00u |
| DR Congo vs Uzbekistan | 3–1 | Uzbekistan | DR Congo | Fallo | 0.6546 | 5.743 | -1.00u |
| Algeria vs Austria | 3–3 | Austria | Empate | Fallo | 0.7636 | 3.792 | -1.00u |
| Jordan vs Argentina | 1–3 | Argentina | Argentina | Acierto | 0.0052 | 1.158 | +0.16u |
| South Africa vs Canada | 0–1 | Canada | Canada | Acierto | 0.2648 | — | — |
| Brazil vs Japan | 2–1 | Brazil | Brazil | Acierto | 0.3774 | 1.84 | +0.84u |
| Germany vs Paraguay | 1–1 | Germany | Empate | Fallo | 0.8313 | 1.464 | -1.00u |
| Netherlands vs Morocco | 1–1 | Netherlands | Empate | Fallo | 0.7675 | 2.454 | -1.00u |
Las columnas de ROI usan 1u plana sobre el pick del modelo y la mejor cuota disponible antes del inicio. Un guion significa que no había precio prepartido, por lo que ese partido queda fuera del ROI.
Método
Para cada partido terminado, la liquidación usa las probabilidades generadas antes de conocer el resultado. La mayor de victoria local, empate y victoria visitante es el pick del modelo; el marcador final determina el resultado real. Brier mide la distribución completa de probabilidades, por eso premia probabilidades honestas y no solo el pick principal.
El rendimiento histórico no garantiza resultados futuros. Las probabilidades son información, no instrucciones de apuesta.
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cómo se liquidan los resultados de pronóstico?
Cuando un partido queda finalizado con marcador oficial, comparamos el pick principal del modelo antes del inicio con el resultado real: victoria, empate o derrota.
¿Qué cuenta como acierto?
Un acierto significa que la mayor probabilidad del modelo fue el resultado real: victoria local, empate o victoria visitante. El marcador exacto se sigue por separado y no es necesario para la tasa de acierto.
¿Se incluyen partidos no terminados?
No. La tasa de acierto en vivo y el Brier solo incluyen partidos terminados con marcador final.