Premier League Prediction Results

22/50 settled calls correct on win/draw/loss (44.0%) · Overall Brier 0.635 (win/draw/loss probabilities, lower is better)

Fulham 1–1 Manchester United Model score 0-1 · actual 1-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Manchester United; actual Draw. · 30% / 26% / 44% · Brier 0.835 Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool Model score 1-0 · actual 0-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Bournemouth; actual Liverpool. · 39% / 26% / 35% · Brier 0.636 Leeds United 0–0 Crystal Palace Model score 1-0 · actual 0-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Leeds United; actual Draw. · 51% / 25% / 24% · Brier 0.885 Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland Model score 2-0 · actual 5-3 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Manchester City; actual Manchester City. · 75% / 16% / 9% · Brier 0.093 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry City Model score 1-0 · actual 0-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Nottingham Forest; actual Coventry City. · 61% / 22% / 17% · Brier 1.106 Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Arsenal Model score 0-1 · actual 3-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Arsenal; actual Brighton and Hove Albion. · 22% / 24% / 54% · Brier 0.969 Everton 1–0 Ipswich Town Model score 1-0 · actual 1-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Everton; actual Everton. · 57% / 23% / 20% · Brier 0.280 Newcastle United 2–1 Hull City Model score 2-0 · actual 2-1 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Newcastle United; actual Newcastle United. · 67% / 20% / 13% · Brier 0.167 Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 Aston Villa Model score 0-1 · actual 2-3 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Aston Villa; actual Aston Villa. · 29% / 26% / 45% · Brier 0.459 Brentford 3–0 Chelsea Model score 1-0 · actual 3-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Brentford; actual Brentford. · 43% / 26% / 31% · Brier 0.493 Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United Model score 1-0 · actual 4-1 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Leeds United; actual Leeds United. · 41% / 26% / 33% · Brier 0.528 Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City Model score 0-1 · actual 0-1 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Manchester City; actual Manchester City. · 28% / 25% / 47% · Brier 0.424 Coventry City 0–5 Brighton and Hove Albion Model score 0-1 · actual 0-5 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Brighton and Hove Albion; actual Brighton and Hove Albion. · 25% / 25% / 50% · Brier 0.372 Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal Model score 0-2 · actual 0-2 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Arsenal; actual Arsenal. · 13% / 20% / 67% · Brier 0.167 Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 Everton Model score 0-1 · actual 0-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Everton; actual Draw. · 32% / 26% / 42% · Brier 0.825 Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest Model score 1-0 · actual 1-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Aston Villa; actual Nottingham Forest. · 46% / 26% / 28% · Brier 0.785 Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich Town Model score 1-0 · actual 2-3 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Crystal Palace; actual Ipswich Town. · 56% / 23% / 21% · Brier 0.991 Chelsea 2–2 Hull City Model score 2-0 · actual 2-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Chelsea; actual Draw. · 70% / 18% / 12% · Brier 1.171 Liverpool 0–0 Fulham Model score 1-0 · actual 0-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Liverpool; actual Draw. · 58% / 23% / 19% · Brier 0.969 Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford Model score 1-0 · actual 2-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Bournemouth; actual Draw. · 46% / 26% / 28% · Brier 0.849 Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea Model score 2-0 · actual 2-1 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Arsenal; actual Arsenal. · 66% / 20% / 14% · Brier 0.179 Everton 2–2 Manchester United Model score 0-1 · actual 2-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Manchester United; actual Draw. · 32% / 26% / 42% · Brier 0.825 Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa Model score 0-2 · actual 0-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Aston Villa; actual Draw. · 17% / 21% / 62% · Brier 1.024 Brentford 1–1 Sunderland Model score 1-0 · actual 1-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Brentford; actual Draw. · 54% / 24% / 22% · Brier 0.917 Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur Model score 1-0 · actual 0-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Nottingham Forest; actual Draw. · 54% / 24% / 22% · Brier 0.925 Brighton and Hove Albion 1–1 Leeds United Model score 1-0 · actual 1-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Brighton and Hove Albion; actual Draw. · 45% / 26% / 29% · Brier 0.839 Manchester City 1–0 Coventry City Model score 2-0 · actual 1-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Manchester City; actual Manchester City. · 80% / 13% / 7% · Brier 0.063 Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace Model score 1-0 · actual 2-3 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Fulham; actual Crystal Palace. · 44% / 26% / 30% · Brier 0.753 Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth Model score 1-0 · actual 2-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Newcastle United; actual Draw. · 38% / 26% / 36% · Brier 0.815 Ipswich Town 0–2 Liverpool Model score 0-1 · actual 0-2 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Liverpool; actual Liverpool. · 19% / 23% / 58% · Brier 0.267 Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal Model score 0-1 · actual 0-1 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Arsenal; actual Arsenal. · 23% / 24% / 53% · Brier 0.336 Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich Town Model score 2-0 · actual 5-2 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Manchester United; actual Manchester United. · 67% / 20% / 13% · Brier 0.166 Leeds United 1–1 Brentford Model score 1-0 · actual 1-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Leeds United; actual Draw. · 40% / 26% / 34% · Brier 0.819 Chelsea 4–3 Brighton and Hove Albion Model score 1-0 · actual 4-3 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Chelsea; actual Chelsea. · 40% / 26% / 34% · Brier 0.547 Sunderland 1–0 Fulham Model score 0-1 · actual 1-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Fulham; actual Sunderland. · 35% / 26% / 39% · Brier 0.646 Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 Newcastle United Model score 0-1 · actual 0-2 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Newcastle United; actual Newcastle United. · 32% / 26% / 42% · Brier 0.500 Coventry City 0–1 Hull City Model score 1-0 · actual 0-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Coventry City; actual Hull City. · 57% / 23% / 20% · Brier 1.009 Bournemouth 1–1 Everton Model score 1-0 · actual 1-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Bournemouth; actual Draw. · 51% / 25% / 24% · Brier 0.887 Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest Model score 1-0 · actual 2-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Liverpool; actual Draw. · 53% / 24% / 23% · Brier 0.903 Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City Model score 0-1 · actual 1-4 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Manchester City; actual Manchester City. · 18% / 22% / 60% · Brier 0.245 Fulham 2–3 Chelsea Model score 1-0 · actual 2-3 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Fulham; actual Chelsea. · 40% / 26% / 34% · Brier 0.673 Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool Model score 0-1 · actual 2-2 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Liverpool; actual Draw. · 33% / 26% / 41% · Brier 0.822 Brighton and Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa Model score 1-0 · actual 4-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Brighton and Hove Albion; actual Brighton and Hove Albion. · 38% / 26% / 36% · Brier 0.588 Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth Model score 1-0 · actual 2-1 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Manchester City; actual Manchester City. · 57% / 23% / 20% · Brier 0.276 Brentford 3–0 Tottenham Hotspur Model score 1-0 · actual 3-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Brentford; actual Brentford. · 53% / 24% / 23% · Brier 0.330 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United Model score 1-0 · actual 0-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Nottingham Forest; actual Leeds United. · 44% / 26% / 30% · Brier 0.749 Ipswich Town 2–1 Sunderland Model score 0-1 · actual 2-1 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Sunderland; actual Ipswich Town. · 34% / 26% / 40% · Brier 0.671 Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace Model score 1-0 · actual 2-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Everton; actual Everton. · 42% / 26% / 32% · Brier 0.504 Hull City 2–0 Manchester United Model score 0-2 · actual 2-0 Win/draw/loss missed · Predicted Manchester United; actual Hull City. · 10% / 16% / 74% · Brier 1.392 Arsenal 3–0 Coventry City Model score 2-0 · actual 3-0 Win/draw/loss correct · Predicted Arsenal; actual Arsenal. · 79% / 14% / 7% · Brier 0.068