FootyTips 
Manchester United vs Bournemouth 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Old Trafford
Match Status
Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester United to win at 45%. Overall probabilities: Manchester United 45%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 29%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 45%
model top outcome · 45%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 1.81 | 3.95 | 3.9 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 1.85 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| duelbits ↗ | 1.85 | 3.95 | 3.9 |
| ★ Best | 1.85 cloudbet | 3.95 stake | 3.95 cloudbet |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Manchester United 45% / Draw 26% / Bournemouth 29%; expected goals 1.54-1.18; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 49.1%/24.8%/26.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth. Model pick: Manchester United. Actual result: Bournemouth.
Brier contribution: 0.7745 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Manchester United win: 45%
- Draw: 26%
- Bournemouth win: 29%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.54 - 1.18
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Manchester United Elo 1760 · Bournemouth Elo 1806
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-25. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Manchester United clear favourites at 45% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at Old Trafford — Manchester United 45%, the draw 26%, Bournemouth 29%. A modest Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1760), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Manchester United are favoured at 45%. Manchester United 45% / Draw 26% / Bournemouth 29%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 51.6% Manchester United win, 24.2% draw, 24.2% Bournemouth win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 49.1% / 24.8% / 26.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Manchester United vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.