FootyTips 
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Stamford Bridge
Match Status
Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Chelsea to win at 55%. Overall probabilities: Chelsea 55%, draw 24%, Tottenham Hotspur 21%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 55%
model top outcome · 55%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Chelsea | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 1.7 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 1.74 | 4.2 | 4.25 |
| duelbits ↗ | 1.74 | 4.15 | 4.3 |
| ★ Best | 1.74 cloudbet | 4.2 stake | 4.3 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Chelsea 55% / Draw 24% / Tottenham Hotspur 21%; expected goals 1.79-1.02; BTTS 53%; blended best estimate 54.8%/23.3%/21.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur. Model pick: Chelsea. Actual result: Tottenham Hotspur.
Brier contribution: 0.9824 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Chelsea win: 55%
- Draw: 24%
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 21%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.79 - 1.02
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Chelsea Elo 1762 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-24. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Chelsea clear favourites at 55% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at Stamford Bridge — Chelsea 55%, the draw 24%, Tottenham Hotspur 21%. A clear Elo edge to Chelsea (1762 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Chelsea are favoured at 55%. Chelsea 55% / Draw 24% / Tottenham Hotspur 21%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 54.5% Chelsea win, 23.0% draw, 22.5% Tottenham Hotspur win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 54.8% / 23.3% / 21.9%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.