FootyTips 
Ipswich Town vs Fulham 
Prediction
· Matchweek 6 · Portman Road
Match Status
Ipswich Town 2-1 Fulham · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Fulham narrowly favoured (43%). Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 31%, draw 26%, Fulham 43%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 43%
model top outcome · 43%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 31% / Draw 26% / Fulham 43%; expected goals 1.22-1.50; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 32.9%/26.8%/40.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Ipswich Town 2-1 Fulham. Model pick: Fulham. Actual result: Ipswich Town.
Brier contribution: 0.7359 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 31%
- Draw: 26%
- Fulham win: 43%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.22 - 1.50
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1588 · Fulham Elo 1699
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-10. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 6 fixture at Portman Road: Ipswich Town 31%, the draw 26%, Fulham 43%. With a clear Elo edge to Fulham (1699 vs 1588), Fulham are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
Fulham are favoured at 43%. Ipswich Town 31% / Draw 26% / Fulham 43%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 34.4% Ipswich Town win, 27.3% draw, 38.3% Fulham win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 32.9% / 26.8% / 40.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Ipswich Town vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.