FootyTips 
Hull City vs Manchester United 
Prediction
· Matchweek 1 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Hull City 2-0 Manchester United · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester United to win at 74%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 10%, draw 16%, Manchester United 74%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 74%
model top outcome · 74%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Hull City 10% / Draw 16% / Manchester United 74%; expected goals 0.75-2.42; BTTS 48%; blended best estimate 10.6%/18.1%/71.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Hull City 2-0 Manchester United. Model pick: Manchester United. Actual result: Hull City.
Brier contribution: 1.3917 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 10%
- Draw: 16%
- Manchester United win: 74%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.75 - 2.42
- Over 2.5: 61%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1499 · Manchester United Elo 1811
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-22. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Manchester United clear favourites at 74% in this Matchweek 1 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 10%, the draw 16%, Manchester United 74%. A big Elo gap in Manchester United's favour (1811 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Manchester United?
Manchester United are favoured at 74%. Hull City 10% / Draw 16% / Manchester United 74%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Manchester United?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Hull City vs Manchester United?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 11.3% Hull City win, 19.2% draw, 69.5% Manchester United win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 10.6% / 18.1% / 71.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Hull City vs Manchester United have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester United?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.