FootyTips 
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur 
Prediction
· Matchweek 6 · Old Trafford
Match Status
Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester United to win at 63%. Overall probabilities: Manchester United 63%, draw 21%, Tottenham Hotspur 16%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 63%
model top outcome · 63%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Manchester United 63% / Draw 21% / Tottenham Hotspur 16%; expected goals 2.01-0.90; BTTS 52%; blended best estimate 58.6%/22.2%/19.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur. Model pick: Manchester United. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 1.0434 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Manchester United win: 63%
- Draw: 21%
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 16%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.01 - 0.90
- Over 2.5: 56%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Manchester United Elo 1760 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-10. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Manchester United clear favourites at 63% in this Matchweek 6 fixture at Old Trafford — Manchester United 63%, the draw 21%, Tottenham Hotspur 16%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester United (1760 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Manchester United are favoured at 63%. Manchester United 63% / Draw 21% / Tottenham Hotspur 16%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 55.5% Manchester United win, 22.8% draw, 21.7% Tottenham Hotspur win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 58.6% / 22.2% / 19.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.