FootyTips 
Liverpool vs Fulham 
Prediction
· Matchweek 4 · Anfield
Match Status
Liverpool 0-0 Fulham · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 58%, draw 23%, Fulham 19%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%
model top outcome · 58%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Liverpool 58% / Draw 23% / Fulham 19%; expected goals 1.87-0.98; BTTS 53%; blended best estimate 61.6%/21.2%/17.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Liverpool 0-0 Fulham. Model pick: Liverpool. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.9685 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Liverpool win: 58%
- Draw: 23%
- Fulham win: 19%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.87 - 0.98
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Liverpool Elo 1826 · Fulham Elo 1689
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-12. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Liverpool clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 4 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 58%, the draw 23%, Fulham 19%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1826 vs 1689), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Liverpool vs Fulham?
Liverpool are favoured at 58%. Liverpool 58% / Draw 23% / Fulham 19%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Fulham?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Liverpool vs Fulham?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 63.9% Liverpool win, 20.1% draw, 16.0% Fulham win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 61.6% / 21.2% / 17.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Liverpool vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Fulham?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.