Leeds United vs Brentford Prediction

Aug 30, 01:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 2 · Elland Road

Match Status

Leeds United 1-1 Brentford · FT · Miss

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model sees this as a close match, with Leeds United narrowly favoured (40%). Overall probabilities: Leeds United 40%, draw 26%, Brentford 34%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 40%

Leeds United 1-1 Brentford result card — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Leeds United
model top outcome · 40%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-30
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Leeds United 40% / Draw 26% / Brentford 34%; expected goals 1.42-1.28; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/leeds-united-vs-brentford-2026-08-30-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/leeds-united-vs-brentford-2026-08-30.png" alt="Leeds United vs Brentford prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Post-Match Result

Miss: Final score Leeds United 1-1 Brentford. Model pick: Leeds United. Actual result: Draw.

Brier contribution: 0.8186 · settled 2026-09-20

Win Probability

Leeds United win: 40%
Draw: 26%
Brentford win: 34%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.42 - 1.28
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Leeds United Elo 1757 · Brentford Elo 1759

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-30. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 2 fixture at Elland Road: Leeds United 40%, the draw 26%, Brentford 34%. With near-level Elo ratings (Leeds United 1757, Brentford 1759), Leeds United are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Brentford?

Leeds United are favoured at 40%. Leeds United 40% / Draw 26% / Brentford 34%.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Brentford?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Leeds United vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Brentford?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.