FootyTips 
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 10 · The City Ground
Match Status
Kickoff 17:30 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 60%. Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 18%, draw 22%, Manchester City 60%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 60%
model top outcome · 60%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 18% / Draw 22% / Manchester City 60%; expected goals 0.94-1.93; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Nottingham Forest win: 18%
- Draw: 22%
- Manchester City win: 60%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.94 - 1.93
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Nottingham Forest Elo 1691 · Manchester City Elo 1965
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 60% in this Matchweek 10 fixture at The City Ground — Nottingham Forest 18%, the draw 22%, Manchester City 60%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1965 vs 1691), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 60%. Nottingham Forest 18% / Draw 22% / Manchester City 60%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.