FootyTips 
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest 
Prediction
· Matchweek 9 · Gtech Community Stadium
Match Status
Brentford 2-0 Nottingham Forest · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brentford to win at 48%. Overall probabilities: Brentford 48%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 27%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 48%
model top outcome · 48%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Brentford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
| duelbits ↗ | 1.97 | 3.7 | 3.55 |
| ★ Best | 1.97 duelbits | 3.75 stake | 3.6 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Brentford 48% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 27%; expected goals 1.60-1.14; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 48.0%/25.2%/26.9%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Brentford 2-0 Nottingham Forest. Model pick: Brentford. Actual result: Brentford.
Brier contribution: 0.4107 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Brentford win: 48%
- Draw: 25%
- Nottingham Forest win: 27%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.60 - 1.14
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Brentford Elo 1768 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-31. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Brentford clear favourites at 48% in this Matchweek 9 fixture at Gtech Community Stadium — Brentford 48%, the draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 27%. A modest Elo edge to Brentford (1768 vs 1691), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Brentford are favoured at 48%. Brentford 48% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 27%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 48.2% Brentford win, 25.0% draw, 26.8% Nottingham Forest win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 48.0% / 25.2% / 26.9%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Brentford vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.