FootyTips 
Coventry City vs Fulham 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Coventry Building Society Arena
Match Status
Coventry City 0-1 Fulham · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Fulham narrowly favoured (43%). Overall probabilities: Coventry City 31%, draw 26%, Fulham 43%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 43%
model top outcome · 43%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Coventry City | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.27 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 2.95 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| duelbits ↗ | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.34 |
| ★ Best | 2.95 stake | 3.55 stake | 2.34 duelbits |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Coventry City 31% / Draw 26% / Fulham 43%; expected goals 1.23-1.48; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 31.9%/26.6%/41.5%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Coventry City 0-1 Fulham. Model pick: Fulham. Actual result: Fulham.
Brier contribution: 0.4966 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Coventry City win: 31%
- Draw: 26%
- Fulham win: 43%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.23 - 1.48
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Coventry City Elo 1598 · Fulham Elo 1699
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-24. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 8 fixture at Coventry Building Society Arena: Coventry City 31%, the draw 26%, Fulham 43%. With a clear Elo edge to Fulham (1699 vs 1598), Fulham are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Coventry City vs Fulham?
Fulham are favoured at 43%. Coventry City 31% / Draw 26% / Fulham 43%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Fulham?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Coventry City vs Fulham?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 32.2% Coventry City win, 27.0% draw, 40.7% Fulham win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 31.9% / 26.6% / 41.5%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Coventry City vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Fulham?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.