FootyTips 
Bournemouth vs Everton 
Prediction
· Matchweek 2 · Vitality Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 53%, draw 24%, Everton 23%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%
model top outcome · 53%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Bournemouth 53% / Draw 24% / Everton 23%; expected goals 1.73-1.06; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Bournemouth win: 53%
- Draw: 24%
- Everton win: 23%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.73 - 1.06
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Bournemouth Elo 1806 · Everton Elo 1702
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Bournemouth clear favourites at 53% in this Matchweek 2 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 53%, the draw 24%, Everton 23%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1702), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Bournemouth vs Everton?
Bournemouth are favoured at 53%. Bournemouth 53% / Draw 24% / Everton 23%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Everton?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Bournemouth vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Everton?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.