FootyTips 
Bournemouth vs Everton 
Prediction
· Matchweek 2 · Vitality Stadium
Match Status
Bournemouth 1-1 Everton · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 51%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 51%, draw 25%, Everton 24%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 51%
model top outcome · 51%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Bournemouth 51% / Draw 25% / Everton 24%; expected goals 1.68-1.09; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Bournemouth 1-1 Everton. Model pick: Bournemouth. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.8865 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Bournemouth win: 51%
- Draw: 25%
- Everton win: 24%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.68 - 1.09
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Bournemouth Elo 1792 · Everton Elo 1721
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-29. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Bournemouth clear favourites at 51% in this Matchweek 2 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 51%, the draw 25%, Everton 24%. A modest Elo edge to Bournemouth (1792 vs 1721), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Bournemouth vs Everton?
Bournemouth are favoured at 51%. Bournemouth 51% / Draw 25% / Everton 24%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Everton?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Bournemouth vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Everton?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.