FootyTips 
Coventry City vs Sunderland 
Prediction
· Matchweek 9 · Coventry Building Society Arena
Match Status
Coventry City 3-1 Sunderland · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Coventry City narrowly favoured (38%). Overall probabilities: Coventry City 38%, draw 26%, Sunderland 36%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 38%
model top outcome · 38%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.46 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 2.8 | 3.45 | 2.4 |
| duelbits ↗ | 2.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| ★ Best | 2.8 cloudbet | 3.45 stake | 2.5 duelbits |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Coventry City 38% / Draw 26% / Sunderland 36%; expected goals 1.37-1.33; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 35.4%/27.1%/37.5%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Coventry City 3-1 Sunderland. Model pick: Coventry City. Actual result: Coventry City.
Brier contribution: 0.5840 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Coventry City win: 38%
- Draw: 26%
- Sunderland win: 36%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.37 - 1.33
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Coventry City Elo 1598 · Sunderland Elo 1608
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-31. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 9 fixture at Coventry Building Society Arena: Coventry City 38%, the draw 26%, Sunderland 36%. With near-level Elo ratings (Coventry City 1598, Sunderland 1608), Coventry City are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Coventry City vs Sunderland?
Coventry City are favoured at 38%. Coventry City 38% / Draw 26% / Sunderland 36%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Sunderland?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Coventry City vs Sunderland?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 33.9% Coventry City win, 27.6% draw, 38.6% Sunderland win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 35.4% / 27.1% / 37.5%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Coventry City vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Sunderland?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.