FootyTips 
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 2 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 60%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 18%, draw 22%, Manchester City 60%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 60%
model top outcome · 60%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Crystal Palace 18% / Draw 22% / Manchester City 60%; expected goals 0.95-1.91; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City. Model pick: Manchester City. Actual result: Manchester City.
Brier contribution: 0.2452 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 18%
- Draw: 22%
- Manchester City win: 60%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.95 - 1.91
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1672 · Manchester City Elo 1978
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-28. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Manchester City clear favourites at 60% in this Matchweek 2 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 18%, the draw 22%, Manchester City 60%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1978 vs 1672), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 60%. Crystal Palace 18% / Draw 22% / Manchester City 60%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Crystal Palace vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.