FootyTips 
Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · Anfield
Match Status
Liverpool 2-0 Brighton and Hove Albion · FT · Hit
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 45%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 45%, draw 26%, Brighton and Hove Albion 29%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 45%
model top outcome · 45%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Liverpool | Draw | Brighton and Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 2.04 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 2.06 | 3.95 | 3.15 |
| duelbits ↗ | 2.09 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
| ★ Best | 2.09 duelbits | 3.95 cloudbet | 3.3 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Liverpool 45% / Draw 26% / Brighton and Hove Albion 29%; expected goals 1.54-1.18; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 45.6%/25.1%/29.3%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Liverpool 2-0 Brighton and Hove Albion. Model pick: Liverpool. Actual result: Liverpool.
Brier contribution: 0.4500 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Liverpool win: 45%
- Draw: 26%
- Brighton and Hove Albion win: 29%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.54 - 1.18
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Liverpool Elo 1838 · Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1839
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-25. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Liverpool clear favourites at 45% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 45%, the draw 26%, Brighton and Hove Albion 29%. Near-level Elo ratings (Liverpool 1838, Brighton and Hove Albion 1839), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Liverpool are favoured at 45%. Liverpool 45% / Draw 26% / Brighton and Hove Albion 29%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 45.8% Liverpool win, 24.7% draw, 29.5% Brighton and Hove Albion win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 45.6% / 25.1% / 29.3%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.