FootyTips 
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 5 · The City Ground
Match Status
Kickoff 16:30 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 57%. Overall probabilities: Nottingham Forest 57%, draw 23%, Coventry City 20%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 57%
model top outcome · 57%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Nottingham Forest 57% / Draw 23% / Coventry City 20%; expected goals 1.83-1.00; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Nottingham Forest win: 57%
- Draw: 23%
- Coventry City win: 20%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.83 - 1.00
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Nottingham Forest Elo 1744 · Coventry City Elo 1605
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 57% in this Matchweek 5 fixture at The City Ground — Nottingham Forest 57%, the draw 23%, Coventry City 20%. A clear Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1744 vs 1605), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
Nottingham Forest are favoured at 57%. Nottingham Forest 57% / Draw 23% / Coventry City 20%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.