FootyTips 
Hull City vs Brentford 
Prediction
· Matchweek 8 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Hull City 1-1 Brentford · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brentford to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 17%, draw 22%, Brentford 61%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%
model top outcome · 61%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Hull City | Draw | Brentford |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 4.3 | 3.9 | 1.76 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 4.3 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
| duelbits ↗ | 4.25 | 3.85 | 1.8 |
| ★ Best | 4.3 stake | 3.9 stake | 1.8 duelbits |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
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Citable facts: Hull City 17% / Draw 22% / Brentford 61%; expected goals 0.94-1.94; BTTS 52%; blended best estimate 20.1%/23.5%/56.4%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Hull City 1-1 Brentford. Model pick: Brentford. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 1.0061 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 17%
- Draw: 22%
- Brentford win: 61%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.94 - 1.94
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1501 · Brentford Elo 1768
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-25. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Brentford clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 8 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 17%, the draw 22%, Brentford 61%. A big Elo gap in Brentford's favour (1768 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
Brentford are favoured at 61%. Hull City 17% / Draw 22% / Brentford 61%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brentford?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Hull City vs Brentford?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 21.9% Hull City win, 24.5% draw, 53.6% Brentford win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 20.1% / 23.5% / 56.4%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Hull City vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brentford?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.