Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Nov 1, 04:30 PM UTC · Matchweek 9 · Anfield

Match Status

Kickoff 16:30 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 50%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 25%, draw 25%, Arsenal 50%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 50%

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction: 25% / 25% / 50% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 50%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Liverpool 25% / Draw 25% / Arsenal 50%; expected goals 1.11-1.65; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01.png" alt="Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Liverpool win: 25%
Draw: 25%
Arsenal win: 50%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.11 - 1.65
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Liverpool Elo 1826 · Arsenal Elo 2000

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Arsenal clear favourites at 50% in this Matchweek 9 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 25%, the draw 25%, Arsenal 50%. A clear Elo edge to Arsenal (2000 vs 1826), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favoured at 50%. Liverpool 25% / Draw 25% / Arsenal 50%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Liverpool vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.