FootyTips 
Fulham vs Newcastle United 
Prediction
· Matchweek 10 · Craven Cottage
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Fulham narrowly favoured (37%). Overall probabilities: Fulham 37%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 37%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 37%
model top outcome · 37%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Fulham 37% / Draw 26% / Newcastle United 37%; expected goals 1.35-1.35; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Fulham win: 37%
- Draw: 26%
- Newcastle United win: 37%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.35 - 1.35
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Fulham Elo 1689 · Newcastle United Elo 1737
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 10 fixture at Craven Cottage: Fulham 37%, the draw 26%, Newcastle United 37%. With a modest Elo edge to Newcastle United (1737 vs 1689), Fulham are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham are favoured at 37%. Fulham 37% / Draw 26% / Newcastle United 37%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Fulham vs Newcastle United have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.