FootyTips 
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town 
Prediction
· Matchweek 4 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich Town · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 56%, draw 23%, Ipswich Town 21%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Crystal Palace 56% / Draw 23% / Ipswich Town 21%; expected goals 1.80-1.01; BTTS 53%; blended best estimate 52.1%/24.7%/23.2%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich Town. Model pick: Crystal Palace. Actual result: Ipswich Town.
Brier contribution: 0.9913 · settled 2026-09-20
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 56%
- Draw: 23%
- Ipswich Town win: 21%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.80 - 1.01
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1672 · Ipswich Town Elo 1580
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-12. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Crystal Palace clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 4 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 56%, the draw 23%, Ipswich Town 21%. A clear Elo edge to Crystal Palace (1672 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Crystal Palace are favoured at 56%. Crystal Palace 56% / Draw 23% / Ipswich Town 21%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 49.6% Crystal Palace win, 25.5% draw, 24.8% Ipswich Town win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 52.1% / 24.7% / 23.2%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.