Hull City vs Ipswich Town
Prediction
· Matchweek 9 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Hull City 2-2 Ipswich Town · FT · Miss
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Ipswich Town narrowly favoured (41%). Overall probabilities: Hull City 33%, draw 26%, Ipswich Town 41%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 41%
model top outcome · 41%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
Odds snapshot: Oct 18, 08:02 PM UTC.
| Sportsbook | Hull City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 2.55 | 3.5 | 2.65 |
| cloudbet ↗ | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.55 |
| roobet | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2.54 |
| duelbits ↗ | 2.6 | 3.45 | 2.6 |
| ★ Best | 2.6 cloudbet | 3.5 stake | 2.65 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site. Measured sportsbook data & methodology →
Citable facts: Hull City 33% / Draw 26% / Ipswich Town 41%; expected goals 1.27-1.43; BTTS 55%; blended best estimate 35.0%/27.0%/38.1%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Miss: Final score Hull City 2-2 Ipswich Town. Model pick: Ipswich Town. Actual result: Draw.
Brier contribution: 0.8197 · settled 2026-11-06
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 33%
- Draw: 26%
- Ipswich Town win: 41%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.27 - 1.43
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1501 · Ipswich Town Elo 1588
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-31. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 9 fixture at The MKM Stadium: Hull City 33%, the draw 26%, Ipswich Town 41%. With a clear Elo edge to Ipswich Town (1588 vs 1501), Ipswich Town are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Ipswich Town are favoured at 41%. Hull City 33% / Draw 26% / Ipswich Town 41%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 36.1% Hull City win, 27.4% draw, 36.5% Ipswich Town win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 35.0% / 27.0% / 38.1%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Hull City vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.



